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Long-range forecasting. From crystal ball to computer

by Armstrong, Jon Scott
[ Libro ] Published by : John Wiley & Sons (New York) Physical details: xviii, 612 p. 24 cm. ISBN:0471030023.
Subject(s): Negocios -- Pronósticos | Pronóstico
Year: 1978 Item type: Libro
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PART I GETTING STARTED. 1 Introduction. 2 The Systems Approach
and Other Good Advice. 3 Implementation. 4 Research Strategies. PART II FORECASTING METHODS. 5 Classifying the Forecasting Methods. 6 Judgmental Methods: the Crystal Ball. 7 Extrapolation Methods. 8 Econometric Methods. 9 Segmentation Methods. 10 Bootstrapping and Other Combined Methods. PART III EVALUATING MODELS. 11 A Framework for Evaluation. 12 Testing Inputs. 13 Testing Outputs. PART IV COMPARING METHODS. 14 Costs and Benefits of the Forecasting Methods. 15 An Evaluation of Accuracy. PART V COMMENCEMENT. 16 Trends in the Use of Forecasting Methods. 17 Research on Forecasting Methods.

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